Kalshi is preparing for the first prediction-market IPO: US regulatory risks

The prediction-markets platform Kalshi has held preliminary talks with investment banks about a possible initial public offering (IPO). The company expects to go public no earlier than the end of 2027 — beginning of 2028.
According to The Information, the discussions are informal in nature and are at an early stage. The decision to consider an IPO is connected to a sharp rise in financial metrics: Kalshi's annual revenue exceeded $2 billion, roughly four times the level of November 2025.
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Sport is driving interest in Kalshi
In May 2026 the monthly trading volume on Kalshi reached $16.81 billion, adding 13.5% versus April. The growth is tied to a surge of activity around NBA markets and the FIFA World Cup (2026). The company also recently became a partner of the US National Hockey League (NHL).
In May Kalshi raised $1 billion in a Series F round at a valuation of $22 billion. The round was led by the Coatue fund, and among the participants were Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, IVP, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley and ARK Invest. Since the beginning of 2025 the company has closed four major funding rounds.
The platform also launched CFTC-approved perpetual futures on bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto assets. This step drew criticism from the Chicago exchange CME Group, which believes such contracts should be regulated differently.
US states oppose prediction markets
The main risk for Kalshi is regulatory uncertainty. On this front the state of Kentucky filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket over allegedly unlicensed sports betting. Similar documents were filed by representatives of Wisconsin, New York, Nevada and other states, and US gambling associations called on the Senate to include a ban on sports prediction markets in the Clarity Act bill.
Источник: BeInCrypto
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